Labor Day Reset: What Austin's Newest Market Numbers Mean for Buyers and Sellers

Hi, it's Christi. Every week, my team at Christi Davidson Real Estate Group pulls the newest numbers from Texas National Title so we can tell you what's actually happening in your market — not just what's trending on social media. This week's numbers tell a clear story: the Austin-area market is turning the page from summer into fall, and one number in particular is impossible to ignore.

Here's what the latest Texas National Title Market Watch report shows for the week of August 31–September 7, 2026, measured against the same week three Mondays prior, across Travis, Hays, and Williamson counties.

The Week at a Glance

Travis County
New Listings: 486 · Closings/Sold: 313 (+7%) · Under Contract: 181 (+13%) · Pending: 161 (+6%) · Price Decreases: 681 (+1%) · Expired: 210 (+400%) · Withdrawn: 175 (+14%)

Hays County
New Listings: 128 (-11%) · Closings/Sold: 103 (+69%) · Under Contract: 43 (+10%) · Pending: 48 (-6%) · Price Decreases: 266 (+2%) · Expired: 51 (+410%) · Withdrawn: 28 (+17%)

Williamson County
New Listings: 307 (-12%) · Closings/Sold: 218 (-1%) · Under Contract: 134 (-8%) · Pending: 142 (-5%) · Price Decreases: 610 (-5%) · Expired: 94 (+248%) · Withdrawn: 86 (+13%)

The Big Story: A Wave of Expired Listings

Look across all three counties and one pattern repeats: expired listings have jumped dramatically — up 400% in Travis, 410% in Hays, and 248% in Williamson County. When something moves that consistently across every county at once, it's not noise — it's a signal.

Here's what's likely driving it: many homes that hit the market during the spring push were listed on five- to six-month agreements. Those agreements are now reaching their natural end right around Labor Day. Sellers who priced ambitiously in April and May, hoping to catch peak-season demand, are now facing a decision point as those listings roll off the books.

This lines up with what we're seeing metro-wide: home prices across Austin remain roughly 20-25% below their 2022 peak, inventory is sitting around 5.8 months of supply, and more than half of active listings have taken at least one price cut. Homes are averaging closer to two months on market before selling. The market hasn't crashed — it's corrected and settled into a longer, more deliberate pace, and this week's expired-listing surge is that pace catching up with sellers who listed at spring-market expectations.

What This Means for Buyers

This is a genuinely favorable moment to be shopping. A large batch of homes is about to come back onto the market — either relisted at a more realistic price or pulled by sellers reassessing their options. That means:

• More room to negotiate. With price decreases already running high across all three counties, sellers are showing they're willing to move on price.
• Fresh inventory is coming. Expired listings often get re-listed within weeks, sometimes with a meaningful price adjustment. Watch for these "second chance" listings — they're frequently priced more realistically the second time around.
• Patience pays. With homes taking close to two months to sell on average across the metro, there's no need to rush into a bidding situation. You have time to find the right fit at the right price.

What This Means for Sellers

If you're thinking about listing — or you have a listing that's about to expire — this week is a good reminder of why pricing strategy matters more than ever:

• Right price, right time. The homes hitting "expired" status this week were largely priced for a market that has since shifted. A pricing strategy grounded in current comps, not spring optimism, is the difference between a 30-day sale and a 150-day sit.
• Presentation still wins. With buyers able to be more selective, homes that show well and are priced accurately are still moving — Closings/Sold numbers were up in Travis and Hays this week, proof that well-positioned homes are finding buyers.
• Don't let a listing lapse without a plan. If your listing is approaching expiration, now is the time to revisit pricing, marketing, and presentation before you re-enter the market — not after.

County-by-County Snapshot

Travis County saw closings, contracts, and pending sales all tick upward, a healthy sign even alongside the expired-listing spike — activity is happening, it's just resetting around new price expectations.

Hays County posted the strongest closing growth of the three counties (+69%), even as new listings pulled back — a sign that well-priced homes already on the market are finding ready buyers.

Williamson County cooled slightly across contracts and pending sales this week, which tracks with a broader seasonal slowdown as we move past the traditional summer buying window.

The Bottom Line

Whether you're buying or selling in Travis, Hays, or Williamson County, this week's numbers point to the same conclusion: the market rewards a clear-eyed, well-informed strategy right now. That's exactly where having a trusted advisor who watches these numbers every week — not just at listing time — makes the difference.

This is the kind of thing I love talking through with people, whether you're actively buying or selling or just trying to understand what your home is worth in today's market. You don't need a transaction on the table to reach out — if you just want to talk through what you're seeing in your neighborhood, I'm happy to help.

Christi Davidson
Broker Associate, Christi Davidson Real Estate Group at eXp Realty
📞 512-426-7399 | ✉️ Christi@davidsonregroup.com | 🌐 www.callchristi.com
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